MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:23:43| >> :60:158:158:
Milan logo
Club Friendlies
Aug 1, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Madrid logo

AC Milan
1 - 0
Real Madrid

Chukwueze (55')
Bakoune (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Real Madrid and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday night's friendly clash with AC Milan in the United States.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 0-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, June 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man City 2-3 AC Milan
Saturday, July 27 at 11pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Real Madrid 1-2 AC Milan

Although most of the supporters will be cheering on Real Madrid at Soldier Field, we believe that AC Milan should have the advantage in the contest considering that they are further into their respective pre-season schedule. Los Blancos will be without leading talents Vinicius Jr and Rodrygo, so we expect their attack to be less potent in Chicago on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Real Madrid had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 1-0 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Real Madrid win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawReal Madrid
60.82% (0.832 0.83) 19.72% (-0.298 -0.3) 19.47% (-0.534 -0.53)
Both teams to score 62.27% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.57% (0.62400000000001 0.62)33.43% (-0.625 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.78% (0.709 0.71)55.21% (-0.711 -0.71)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.28% (0.401 0.4)10.72% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.34% (0.892 0.89)34.66% (-0.893 -0.89)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (-0.133 -0.13)30.25% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (-0.159 -0.16)66.42% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 60.82%
    Real Madrid 19.47%
    Draw 19.72%
AC MilanDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 7.2% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 4.3% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.02% (0.121 0.12)
4-0 @ 3.36% (0.113 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.4% (0.063 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.79% (0.083 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.074 0.07)
5-2 @ 1.07% (0.045 0.05)
4-3 @ 0.96% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 60.82%
1-1 @ 8.66% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.24% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 19.72%
1-2 @ 5.18% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-1 @ 3.88% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 19.47%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs AC Milan

Real Madrid
72.3%
Draw
7.4%
AC Milan
20.2%
188
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2023 3.10am
Club Friendlies
Real Madrid
3-2
AC Milan
Valverde (57', 59'), Junior (84')
Tomori (25'), Romero (42')
Romero (47')
Aug 8, 2021 5.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Real Madrid
0-0
AC Milan
Calabria (40')
Jul 30, 2015 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Real Madrid
0-0
AC Milan
(Aggregate 0-0 | Real Madrid win 10-9 on penalties)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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