Club Friendlies

May 31, 2024 at 12pm UK

Optus Stadium

Roma
5 - 2
AC Milan

Baldanzi (28'), Abraham (45+2'), Angelino (54'), Dybala (57'), Azmoun (77')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Hernandez (37'), Okafor (55')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Roma and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: Empoli 2-1 Roma
Sunday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Last Game: AC Milan 3-3 Salernitana
Saturday, May 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

These clubs won one of their final five games in Serie A, and neither has any form of momentum heading into the post-season friendly. With little on the line in Perth, we should see lots of entertainment at both ends, with both sides finding the back of the net in a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	AC Milan
38.54% ( -0.02)	25.67% ( -0.01)	35.78% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 55.31% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.22% (

0.05)

48.78% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.12% (

0.04)

70.88% (

-0.04)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.14% (

0.01)

24.86% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.54% (

0.02)

59.46% (

-0.01)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6% (

0.04)

26.4% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.45% (

0.06)

61.55% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Roma 38.54%

AC Milan 35.78%

Draw 25.67%

Roma	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.54%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.78%