MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 09:39:43| >> :60:114:114:
Roma logo
Club Friendlies
May 31, 2024 at 12pm UK
Optus Stadium
Milan logo

Roma
5 - 2
AC Milan

Baldanzi (28'), Abraham (45+2'), Angelino (54'), Dybala (57'), Azmoun (77')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hernandez (37'), Okafor (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Roma and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Empoli 2-1 Roma
Sunday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Last Game: AC Milan 3-3 Salernitana
Saturday, May 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-2 AC Milan

 These clubs won one of their final five games in Serie A, and neither has any form of momentum heading into the post-season friendly. With little on the line in Perth, we should see lots of entertainment at both ends, with both sides finding the back of the net in a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawAC Milan
38.54% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 25.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 35.78% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.31% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.22% (0.051000000000002 0.05)48.78% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.12% (0.044999999999998 0.04)70.88% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (0.013999999999996 0.01)24.86% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.54% (0.017000000000003 0.02)59.46% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (0.043999999999997 0.04)26.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (0.057000000000002 0.06)61.55% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Roma 38.54%
    AC Milan 35.78%
    Draw 25.67%
RomaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 38.54%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.82% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 35.78%

How you voted: Roma vs AC Milan

Roma
34.5%
Draw
27.6%
AC Milan
37.9%
58
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Roma
2-1
AC Milan
Mancini (12'), Dybala (22')
Celik (31')
Gabbia (85')
Calabria (32'), Gabbia (46'), Adli (51'), Jovic (77'), Tomori (89'), Hernandez (90+2')
> Match Report
Apr 11, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
AC Milan
0-1
Roma

Pioli (17'), Pulisic (33'), Adli (63'), Loftus-Cheek (73')
Mancini (17')
Cristante (38')
> Match Report
Jan 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
AC Milan
3-1
Roma
Adli (11'), Giroud (56'), Hernandez (84')
Kjaer (71'), Gabbia (90')
Paredes (69' pen.)
Mancini (43'), Cristante (56'), Huijsen (81')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
Spinazzola (90+2')
Paredes (69'), Lukaku (85')
Giroud (9' pen.), Leao (48')
Tomori (19'), Loftus-Cheek (34'), Okafor (90+7')
Tomori (61')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 32
Roma
1-1
AC Milan
Abraham (90+4')
Saelemaekers (90+7')
> Preview
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