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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
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Roma
1 - 0
Genoa

Lukaku (79')
Paredes (72'), Lukaku (82')
Paredes (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Roma
Sunday, May 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Genoa

All competitions
Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Sassuolo
Sunday, May 12 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-2 Genoa

 Roma's revival under Daniele De Rossi - who recently extended his short-term contract by three years - has started to falter, so plucky Genoa could leave the capital with a point. The Grifone never know when they are beaten, and they possess sufficient firepower to test their hosts' increasingly leaky defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match.

Result
RomaDrawGenoa
55.91% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11) 23.76% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 20.32% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.87% (-0.172 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.56% (-0.256 -0.26)50.44% (0.255 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.63% (-0.227 -0.23)72.37% (0.226 0.23)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.133 -0.13)17.88% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34% (-0.228 -0.23)48.66% (0.227 0.23)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.73% (-0.111 -0.11)39.27% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.02% (-0.104 -0.1)75.98% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Roma 55.9%
    Genoa 20.32%
    Draw 23.76%
RomaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 12.08% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.4% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 55.9%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.07% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 20.32%

How you voted: Roma vs Genoa

Roma
73.5%
Draw
22.1%
Genoa
4.4%
68
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Cristante (22')
Mancini (42'), Paredes (75'), Aouar (89')
> Preview
Jan 12, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
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1-0
Genoa
Dybala (64')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 24
Roma
0-0
Genoa
Mancini (35'), Zaniolo (90+1'), Abraham (90+4')
Zaniolo (90+5')
Vanheusden (25'), Vasquez (79')
Skiri Oestigaard (69')
> Preview
Nov 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Genoa
0-2
Roma

Cambiaso (32'), Badelj (54'), Sabelli (78')
Afena-Gyan (82', 90+4')
Veretout (40'), Mourinho (49'), Afena-Gyan (89')
> Preview
Mar 7, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 26
Roma
1-0
Genoa
Mancini (24')
Mancini (65')

Masiello (42'), Destro (45+1'), Strootman (64'), Criscito (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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