Genoa

2 - 1

Sassuolo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 52.28%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.