Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan0 - 1Roma
The Match
Match Report
Roma record a 1-0 win over AC Milan in the first leg of their Europa League quarter-final, with Gianluca Mancini netting the only goal of the contest.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AC Milan and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
Saturday, April 6 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, April 6 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Lazio
Saturday, April 6 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, April 6 at 5pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Roma had a probability of 17.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
60.38% ( 0.01) | 22.48% | 17.13% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 48.26% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
