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Serie A
Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Sassuolo logo

Roma
1 - 0
Sassuolo

Pellegrini (50')
Pellegrini (59'), Azmoun (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Erlic (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Roma
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League

Sassuolo

All competitions
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Frosinone
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 3-1 Sassuolo

 Even if they do not open up a decisive lead before the closing stages, Roma should still make sure they prevail. The hosts have scored more goals during the last 15 minutes this season than any other Serie A side (18), while Sassuolo have shipped no fewer than 16 during that crucial time period. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawSassuolo
64.81% (0.17400000000001 0.17) 19.62% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 15.57% (-0.225 -0.23)
Both teams to score 54.18% (-0.732 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.88% (-0.693 -0.69)40.12% (0.694 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.51% (-0.721 -0.72)62.49% (0.721 0.72)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.35% (-0.157 -0.16)11.65% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.3% (-0.339 -0.34)36.7% (0.34 0.34)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.32% (-0.717 -0.72)38.68% (0.717 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.58% (-0.683 -0.68)75.41% (0.685 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Roma 64.81%
    Sassuolo 15.57%
    Draw 19.62%
RomaDrawSassuolo
2-0 @ 10.41% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.249 0.25)
3-0 @ 7.46% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.01% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.81% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 64.81%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.51% (0.143 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.62%
1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.28% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 15.57%

How you voted: Roma vs Sassuolo

Roma
93.1%
Draw
3.0%
Sassuolo
4.0%
101
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 14
Sassuolo
1-2
Roma
Henrique (25')
Thorstvedt (55'), Berardi (69'), Henrique (83'), Erlic (90+3')
Boloca (63')
Dybala (76' pen.), Kristensen (82')
Kristensen (78')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 26
Roma
3-4
Sassuolo
Zalewski (26'), Dybala (50'), Wijnaldum (90+4')
Lauriente (13', 18'), Berardi (45+4' pen.), Pinamonti (75')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Sassuolo
1-1
Roma
Pinamonti (85')
Abraham (80')
> Preview
Feb 13, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 25
Sassuolo
2-2
Roma
Smalling (47' og.), Traore (73')
Marco Ferrari (19'), Lopez (45+3'), Berardi (45+3')
Marco Ferrari (78')
Abraham (45+1' pen.), Cristante (90+4')
Mancini (21'), Kumbulla (83')
> Preview
Sep 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Roma
2-1
Sassuolo
Cristante (37'), El Shaarawy (90+1')
Ibanez (43'), Cristante (66')
Duricic (57')
Chiriches (36')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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