Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Mar 17, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 0
Sassuolo

Pellegrini (50')
Pellegrini (59'), Azmoun (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Erlic (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Roma
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Frosinone
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Even if they do not open up a decisive lead before the closing stages, Roma should still make sure they prevail. The hosts have scored more goals during the last 15 minutes this season than any other Serie A side (18), while Sassuolo have shipped no fewer than 16 during that crucial time period. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Sassuolo
64.81% ( 0.17)	19.62% ( 0.05)	15.57% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 54.18% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.88% (

-0.69)

40.12% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.51% (

-0.72)

62.49% (

0.72)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.35% (

-0.16)

11.65% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.3% (

-0.34)

36.7% (

0.34)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.32% (

-0.72)

38.68% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.58% (

-0.68)

75.41% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Roma 64.81%

Sassuolo 15.57%

Draw 19.62%

Roma	Draw	Sassuolo
2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.91% Total : 64.81%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.62%	1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.01% Total : 15.57%