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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
55.24% ( 0.58) | 24.35% ( -0.25) | 20.41% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 48.26% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.35% ( 0.61) | 52.64% ( -0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.71% ( 0.52) | 74.29% ( -0.52) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.04% ( 0.46) | 18.96% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.51% ( 0.76) | 50.48% ( -0.76) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.55% ( 0) | 40.45% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.94% ( 0) | 77.06% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 55.24% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.27% Total : 20.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |