League Two

League Two | Gameweek 38

Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 3
Harrogate

Bogle (3', 79')
Bennett (39'), Evans (61'), Waite (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Folarin (5'), Thomson (9'), Armstrong (83')
Sims (54')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Doncaster 1-3 Newport
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Harrogate Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Harrogate
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Newport County 1-1 Harrogate Town

Harrogate need just one more point to confirm their status as a League Two side for next season, and we expect them to get it, considering Newport have nothing to play for at this point. The Exiles have looked more solid in recent weeks, but they have struggled at home for the vast majority of the season, and that record is likely to continue on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Harrogate Town
49.77% ( 0.02)	25.36% ( -0)	24.87% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.62% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.76% (

-0.01)

52.24% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.06% (

-0.01)

73.94% (

0.01)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.99% (

21.01% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.22% (

0.01)

53.78% (

-0.01)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.08% (

-0.03)

35.92% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.3% (

-0.03)

72.7% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Newport County 49.77%

Harrogate Town 24.87%

Draw 25.35%

Newport County	Draw	Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.48% Total : 49.77%	1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.87%