Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 86.32%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 4.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 4-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.96%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (1.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.