Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.13%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Brentford win it was 2-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.