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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 31, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Burnley logo

Man City
3 - 1
Burnley

Alvarez (16', 22'), Rodri (46')
Ederson (75'), Doku (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Al Dakhil (90+3')
Ekdal (21'), Roberts (75')

The Match

Match Report

Julian Alvarez scores twice on his 24th birthday as Manchester City cruise to a 3-1 victory over Burnley in the Premier League.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Burnley.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's Premier League clash with Burnley.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Burnley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Luton
Friday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 88.59%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 3.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.6%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (1.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawBurnley
88.59% (-0.81099999999999 -0.81) 7.84% (0.5539 0.55) 3.58% (0.261 0.26)
Both teams to score 46.53% (-0.622 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.32% (-1.753 -1.75)21.69% (1.758 1.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.54% (-2.464 -2.46)40.46% (2.468 2.47)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.97% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)3.03% (0.357 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.38% (-1.264 -1.26)13.62% (1.266 1.27)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.98% (-0.463 -0.46)52.02% (0.46700000000001 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.99% (-0.301 -0.3)86.02% (0.306 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 88.59%
    Burnley 3.58%
    Draw 7.84%
Manchester CityDrawBurnley
3-0 @ 11.23% (0.32 0.32)
4-0 @ 9.82% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.63% (0.595 0.6)
3-1 @ 7.34% (0.108 0.11)
5-0 @ 6.87% (-0.292 -0.29)
4-1 @ 6.42% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.3% (0.307 0.31)
1-0 @ 5.51% (0.519 0.52)
5-1 @ 4.49% (-0.255 -0.26)
6-0 @ 4% (-0.319 -0.32)
6-1 @ 2.62% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.072 -0.07)
7-0 @ 2% (-0.237 -0.24)
5-2 @ 1.47% (-0.104 -0.1)
7-1 @ 1.31% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 5.11%
Total : 88.59%
1-1 @ 3.6% (0.294 0.29)
2-2 @ 2.06% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 1.58% (0.198 0.2)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 7.84%
1-2 @ 1.18% (0.081 0.08)
0-1 @ 1.03% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 3.58%

How you voted: Man City vs Burnley

Manchester City
86.5%
Draw
7.9%
Burnley
5.7%
229
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
Burnley
0-3
Man City

Zaroury (90+4')
Haaland (4', 36'), Rodri (75')
Guardiola (75')
Mar 18, 2023 5.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Man City
6-0
Burnley
Braut Haaland (32', 35', 59'), Alvarez (62', 73'), Palmer (68')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Burnley
0-2
Man City

Weghorst (13')
De Bruyne (5'), Gundogan (25')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Man City
2-0
Burnley
Silva (12'), De Bruyne (70')
Laporte (45+3')
Feb 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 22
Burnley
0-2
Man City

Stephens (83'), Mumbongo (87')
Jesus (3'), Sterling (38')
Ederson (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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