Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bournemouth in this match.