Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.75%) and 1-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.