Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.