Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 22.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8%) and 1-0 (7.78%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | West Ham United |
56.72% ( 0.11) | 21.13% ( -0.04) | 22.15% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 61.41% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.55% ( 0.1) | 36.45% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.41% ( 0.11) | 58.59% ( -0.11) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.22% ( 0.07) | 12.78% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.92% ( 0.14) | 39.08% ( -0.14) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.41% ( -0) | 29.59% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.38% ( -0) | 65.62% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | West Ham United |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.03% Total : 56.72% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.13% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 22.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 34 |
2 | Arsenal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Chelsea | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
4 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
6 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 22 |
7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 20 |
8 | Brentford | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 19 |
10 | Fulham | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
12 | Aston Villa | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 19 |
13 | Bournemouth | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 18 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 15 |
15 | Everton | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 9 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 5 |
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