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West Ham logo
Premier League | Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
London Stadium
Newcastle logo

West Ham
1 - 1
Newcastle

Dawson (32')
Fredericks (21'), Fornals (90'), Bowen (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Willock (45+1')
Krafth (31'), Fraser (75'), Burn (90+5')

Preview: West Ham United vs. Newcastle United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between West Ham United and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Newcastle United will be looking to make it four Premier League victories in a row when they head to London Stadium on Saturday afternoon to take on top-four hopefuls West Ham United.

The away side, who are now out of the relegation zone, will enter the contest off the back of a 1-0 win over Aston Villa, while West Ham played out a 2-2 draw with Leicester City at the King Power Stadium.


Match preview

West Ham United's Craig Dawson celebrates scoring their second goal on February 13, 2022© Reuters

West Ham secured a point at Leicester last weekend courtesy of a last-gasp effort from Craig Dawson, who survived a handball shout to make it 2-2, with the Hammers moving onto 41 points for the season.

David Moyes's side have been knocked out of the top four by Manchester United, who beat Brighton & Hove Albion on Tuesday evening, with the capital outfit currently fifth in the table, two points behind the Red Devils, while they are two points clear of sixth-placed Arsenal, who have three games in hand.

Wolverhampton Wanderers in seventh have two games in hand on West Ham, while eighth-placed Tottenham Hotspur have three, so the Hammers could find themselves sliding down the table over the next few weeks if they are unable to put some wins on the board.

Moyes's team have back-to-back home league games against Newcastle and Wolves before heading to Southampton in the FA Cup, but they have lost two of their last four top-flight fixtures at London Stadium to Southampton and Leeds United, with the visitors scoring three times on each occasion.

The Hammers ran out 4-2 winners at Newcastle earlier this season, but they have actually lost three of their last five matches against the Magpies, including a 2-0 defeat at London Stadium last term.

Newcastle United's Kieran Trippier celebrates scoring their first goal with Dan Burn on February 13, 2022© Reuters

Newcastle have turned a corner since losing 4-0 at home to Manchester City on December 19, with the Magpies unbeaten in their last five in the Premier League, drawing with Manchester United and Watford, in addition to beating Leeds United, Everton and Aston Villa.

The Magpies have won their last three in the league, including a 1-0 success at home to Aston Villa last weekend, with Kieran Trippier's first-half free kick deciding the contest at St James' Park.

Eddie Howe's side are now out of the relegation zone, sitting 17th in the table, four points clear of 18th-placed Norwich City, while they have a game in hand on the Canaries.

Newcastle simply cannot afford to be relegated this season due to their lucrative takeover, and January signings Chris Wood, Trippier, Dan Burn and Matt Targett have all had a positive impact, but Bruno Guimaraes is still waiting to make his first start for the club, featuring off the bench against Everton and Aston Villa.

The Magpies have the second-worst away record in the league this season, picking up just six points from 10 matches, but confidence is growing at St James' Park, and another positive result this weekend would lead them nicely into a huge fixture away to Brentford on February 26.

West Ham United Premier League form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D

West Ham United form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

Newcastle United Premier League form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W

Newcastle United form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

West Ham United's Kurt Zouma in action on February 8, 2022© Reuters

West Ham remain without the services of Angelo Ogbonna and Arthur Masuaku through injury, but Kurt Zouma should overcome illness in time for Saturday's contest.

Moyes must decide whether to bring Zouma straight back into the side or keep faith with Issa Diop, who started alongside Dawson at the heart of the defence against Leicester.

Jarrod Bowen should be available despite taking a knock against the Foxes, while Pablo Fornals and Manuel Lanzini are likely to keep their spots in the XI despite competition from Said Benrahma.

As for Newcastle, Trippier is out with a broken foot, while Javier Manquillo, Federico Fernandez, Isaac Hayden, Matt Ritchie and Callum Wilson will also miss the contest through injury.

Jamaal Lascelles should be back following illness, though, which could see the visitors switch to a back three, with Targett, who was unable to face his parent club last weekend, back in the side at wing-back.

Guimaraes is expected to start on the bench once again despite his high-profile January arrival, with Jonjo Shelvey, Joe Willock and Joelinton impressing last time out, while a switch to a 3-5-2 formation would likely see Wood and Allan Saint-Maximin start as the front two.

West Ham United possible starting lineup:
Fabianski; Coufal, Dawson, Zouma, Cresswell; Soucek, Rice; Bowen, Lanzini, Fornals; Antonio

Newcastle United possible starting lineup:
Dubravka; Schar, Lascelles, Burn; Fraser, Willock, Shelvey, Joelinton, Targett; Wood, Saint-Maximin


SM words green background

We say: West Ham United 1-1 Newcastle United

Make no mistake, this is a really difficult game for West Ham, with the Magpies a much-improved outfit. A few weeks ago, the Hammers would have fancied their chances of winning this match relatively comfortably, but we are backing Howe's side to claim a share of the spoils at London Stadium on Saturday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.


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Game History

How you voted: West Ham vs Newcastle

West Ham United
61.7%
Draw
20.9%
Newcastle United
17.5%
206
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