Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Newcastle4 - 4Luton
The Match
Match Report
Newcastle United come from 4-2 behind to draw 4-4 with Luton Town in Saturday's thrilling Premier League contest at St James' Park.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 30 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Tuesday, January 30 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 4-0 Brighton
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 52.91%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Luton Town |
52.91% ( -1.08) | 22.87% ( 0.44) | 24.21% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 57.93% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.75% ( -1.35) | 42.25% ( 1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.35% ( -1.37) | 64.65% ( 1.37) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.02% ( -0.84) | 15.98% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.71% ( -1.58) | 45.29% ( 1.58) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.94% ( -0.2) | 31.05% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.63% ( -0.23) | 67.37% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
Newcastle United 52.92%
Luton Town 24.21%
Draw 22.87%
| Newcastle United | Draw | Luton Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.49% Total : 52.92% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.82% Total : 24.21% |
How you voted: Newcastle vs Luton
Newcastle United
74.5%Draw
14.2%Luton Town
11.3%212
Head to Head
Form Guide
