FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 6, 2024 at 12.45pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
0 - 3
Newcastle

Hume (39'), Pritchard (61'), O'Nien (78'), Ballard (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ballard (35' og.), Isak (46', 90' pen.)
Gordon (66'), Guimaraes (72')

Eddie Howe says win over Sunderland "a step in the right direction"

Newcastle United head coach Eddie Howe says that Saturday's 3-0 win over Sunderland in the FA Cup was "a step in the right direction".

Jan 6, 15:38

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United book their spot in the fourth round of the FA Cup courtesy of a 3-0 win over Sunderland in Saturday's Tyne-Wear derby.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Sunderland and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Preston
Monday, January 1 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Last Game: Liverpool 4-2 Newcastle
Monday, January 1 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Newcastle United
45.57% ( 0.44)	23.07% ( 0.03)	31.36% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 63.24% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.14% (

-0.36)

37.86% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.89% (

-0.39)

60.11% (

0.39)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.97% (

0.03)

17.03% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.82% (

0.05)

47.18% (

-0.05)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.22% (

-0.45)

23.78% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.06% (

-0.65)

57.94% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 45.57%

Newcastle United 31.36%

Draw 23.06%

Sunderland	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.21% Total : 45.57%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.06%	1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.36%