Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Newcastle1 - 0Southampton
FT(HT: 1-0)
The Match
Match Report
Newcastle United overcome a first-half red card for Fabian Schar to record a 1-0 victory over Southampton in the Premier League at St James' Park.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Brest
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Southampton 0-0 Getafe
Saturday, August 10 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, August 10 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Southampton |
43.66% ( -3.63) | 22.78% ( 0.77) | 33.56% ( 2.87) |
| Both teams to score 65.32% ( -1.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
