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Newcastle logo
Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Southampton logo

Newcastle
1 - 0
Southampton

Joelinton (45')
Hall (9'), Burn (74')
Schar (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brereton Diaz (28'), Stephens (45+3'), Harwood-Bellis (73'), Edozie (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United overcome a first-half red card for Fabian Schar to record a 1-0 victory over Southampton in the Premier League at St James' Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Brest
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 0-0 Getafe
Saturday, August 10 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.43%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawSouthampton
43.66% (-3.633 -3.63) 22.78% (0.767 0.77) 33.56% (2.868 2.87)
Both teams to score 65.32% (-1.502 -1.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.47% (-2.53 -2.53)35.53% (2.532 2.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.42% (-2.854 -2.85)57.57% (2.857 2.86)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.15% (-2.303 -2.3)16.85% (2.305 2.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.14% (-4.268 -4.27)46.86% (4.27 4.27)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (0.36000000000001 0.36)21.44% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55% (0.55 0.55)54.45% (-0.547 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 43.66%
    Southampton 33.56%
    Draw 22.78%
Newcastle UnitedDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-0 @ 6.43% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.532 -0.53)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.362 -0.36)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.386 -0.39)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.449 -0.45)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.322 -0.32)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.311 -0.31)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 43.66%
1-1 @ 9.91% (0.596 0.6)
2-2 @ 6.79% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.61% (0.442 0.44)
3-3 @ 2.07% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.535 0.54)
0-1 @ 5.56% (0.733 0.73)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.605 0.61)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.314 0.31)
2-3 @ 3.49% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.33 0.33)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.136 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 33.56%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Southampton

Newcastle United
89.1%
Draw
6.4%
Southampton
4.5%
156
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 34
Newcastle
3-1
Southampton
Wilson (54', 81'), Walcott (79' og.)
Armstrong (41')
> Match Report
Jan 31, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Newcastle
2-1
Southampton
Longstaff (5', 21')
Adams (29')
> Match Report
Jan 24, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Southampton
0-1
Newcastle
Joelinton (73')
> Match Report
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
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1-4
Newcastle
Perraud (89')
Almiron (35'), Wood (58'), Willock (62'), Guimaraes (90+1')
> Match Report
Mar 10, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
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1-2
Newcastle
Armstrong (25')
Bednarek (72')
Wood (32'), Guimaraes (52')
Murphy (16')
> Preview
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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