We said: West Ham United 2-1 Bournemouth
After Moyes's cup exploits, an exit this early from a cup competition would not go down too well, despite the strong opponents in front of West Ham here.
With plenty of match winners in the squad and home advantage though, the Hammers will be slight favourites, but Iraola's Bournemouth do not make it easy for any side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.