Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Everton had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
26.46% ( -0.82) | 23.95% ( 0.07) | 49.58% ( 0.75) |
Both teams to score 56.58% ( -0.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.91% ( -0.94) | 45.09% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.56% ( -0.91) | 67.44% ( 0.92) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.22% ( -1.11) | 30.78% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.96% ( -1.33) | 67.04% ( 1.34) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.73% ( -0.07) | 18.27% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.68% ( -0.12) | 49.32% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.94% Total : 26.46% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.48% Total : 49.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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