Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.