Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bromley would win this match.
Result | ||
Bromley | Draw | Altrincham |
44.03% ( -0.15) | 25.26% ( 0.07) | 30.7% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.18% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.72% ( -0.29) | 48.27% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.57% ( -0.27) | 70.42% ( 0.26) |
Bromley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.09% ( -0.19) | 21.9% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.83% ( -0.29) | 55.16% ( 0.28) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.65% ( -0.1) | 29.34% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.67% ( -0.12) | 65.32% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Bromley | Draw | Altrincham |
1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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