Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 77.48%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 9.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.