Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 74.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 10.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 3-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
Result | ||
Fylde | Draw | Oxford City |
74.22% (![]() | 15.09% (![]() | 10.69% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.51% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.84% (![]() | 30.16% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.62% (![]() | 51.38% (![]() |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.09% (![]() | 6.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.63% (![]() | 25.36% (![]() |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.7% (![]() | 39.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.99% (![]() | 76.01% |
Score Analysis |
Fylde | Draw | Oxford City |
2-0 @ 9.69% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.05% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.07% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.25% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 4.1% Total : 74.22% | 1-1 @ 6.78% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.09% | 1-2 @ 3.16% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 1.51% Total : 10.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 63 | 31 | 32 | 67 |
2 | York City | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 63 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 62 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 56 |
5 | Gateshead | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 52 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 51 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 49 |
8 | Rochdale | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 23 | 16 | 44 |
9 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 32 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 44 |
10 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 43 |
11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 42 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 42 |
13 | Eastleigh | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 41 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 39 |
15 | Tamworth | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 39 |
16 | Woking | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 35 |
17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 34 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 34 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 30 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 29 |
22 | Fylde | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 36 | 60 | -24 | 29 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 20 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 32 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 21 | 69 | -48 | 13 |
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