League Two

League Two | Gameweek 46

Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
4 - 4
Sutton

Payne (14'), Gilbey (41'), Tezgel (60'), Harrison (70')
O'Hora (67'), Harrison (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Duke-McKenna (50', 75'), Lakin (62'), Smith (90+1')
Eastmond (65'), Hart (67')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: Harrogate 3-5 MK Dons
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sutton United

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 2-2 Crawley
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: MK Dons 2-1 Sutton United

Although MK Dons will have one eye on the playoffs, the hosts are likely to use Saturday's match as a warm-up game ahead of the upcoming race for promotion. Sutton have won just four times on the road this season in 22 attempts, meaning that a safety-clinching victory in Buckinghamshire is unlikely this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.1%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.37%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Sutton United
54.1% ( -0.02)	21.49% ( 0)	24.42% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 63.14% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.51% (

0.03)

35.49% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.46% (

0.03)

57.54% (

-0.03)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.75% (

13.25% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.97% (

0.01)

40.03% (

-0.01)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.78% (

0.03)

27.22% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.36% (

0.04)

62.64% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 54.1%

Sutton United 24.42%

Draw 21.49%

MK Dons	Draw	Sutton United
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.26% 4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.32% 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 54.1%	1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.49%	1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 3.79% Total : 24.42%