League Two

League Two | Gameweek 43

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
0 - 2
MK Dons

Moore-Taylor (44'), McCann (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dean (40'), Gilbey (50')
Tezgel (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Forest Green
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 3-3 MK Dons
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 23.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	MK Dons
23.74% ( -0.2)	23.31% ( -0.11)	52.96% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 55.9% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.32% (

0.27)

44.68% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.95% (

0.26)

67.04% (

-0.25)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.22% (

-0.03)

32.78% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.66% (

-0.03)

69.34% (

0.03)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.15% (

0.21)

16.85% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.15% (

0.37)

46.85% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 23.74%

MK Dons 52.96%

Draw 23.31%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.03% 3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.74%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.31%	0-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.8% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.96%