Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.