Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 73.99%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 10.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 3-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-2 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Wealdstone |
73.99% ( 0) | 15.55% | 10.46% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 53.59% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.71% ( 0) | 33.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.95% ( 0) | 55.05% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.32% ( 0) | 7.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.62% ( 0) | 27.38% |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.05% ( -0) | 41.95% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.61% ( -0) | 78.39% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Wealdstone |
2-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.08% 1-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 7.89% 4-0 @ 5.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.06% 3-2 @ 3.43% 5-0 @ 2.99% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 2.2% 6-0 @ 1.28% 5-2 @ 1.13% 6-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.31% Total : 73.98% | 1-1 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 4% 0-0 @ 3.22% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.55% | 1-2 @ 3.12% 0-1 @ 2.8% 0-2 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.27% Total : 10.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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