Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
21.16% ( -0.02) | 22.56% ( -0.01) | 56.28% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.91% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.64% ( 0.01) | 44.36% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.27% ( 0.01) | 66.73% ( -0.01) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.04% ( -0.01) | 34.96% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.3% ( -0.01) | 71.7% ( 0.02) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.43% ( 0.01) | 15.58% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.46% ( 0.02) | 44.54% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.01% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 21.16% | 1-1 @ 10.64% 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.56% | 0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.41% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.85% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 56.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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