Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Aldershot Town |
45.86% ( -0.12) | 25.58% ( 0.01) | 28.56% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.91% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.33% ( 0.02) | 50.67% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.43% ( 0.02) | 72.57% ( -0.02) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.92% ( -0.04) | 22.08% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.57% ( -0.07) | 55.43% ( 0.07) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.9% ( 0.09) | 32.1% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.43% ( 0.1) | 68.57% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | Aldershot Town |
1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.85% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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