Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Aldershot Town |
49.36% ( 5.63) | 23.88% ( -1.34) | 26.76% ( -4.28) |
Both teams to score 57.11% ( 1.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.48% ( 3.43) | 44.52% ( -3.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.11% ( 3.24) | 66.89% ( -3.24) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.87% ( 3.78) | 18.13% ( -3.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.91% ( 6.08) | 49.09% ( -6.08) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.76% ( -1.29) | 30.24% ( 1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.59% ( -1.58) | 66.41% ( 1.58) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.5) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.68) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.85) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.85) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.41) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.58) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.54) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.31) Other @ 3.55% Total : 49.36% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.74) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.86) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.7) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -1.3) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.95) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.45) Other @ 3.08% Total : 26.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 38 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Barnet | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
4 | Gateshead | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Rochdale | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Eastleigh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Tamworth | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
18 | Fylde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
19 | Woking | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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