Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Aldershot Town |
49.36% ( 5.63) | 23.88% ( -1.34) | 26.76% ( -4.28) |
Both teams to score 57.11% ( 1.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.48% ( 3.43) | 44.52% ( -3.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.11% ( 3.24) | 66.89% ( -3.24) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.87% ( 3.78) | 18.13% ( -3.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.91% ( 6.08) | 49.09% ( -6.08) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.76% ( -1.29) | 30.24% ( 1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.59% ( -1.58) | 66.41% ( 1.58) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.5) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.68) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.85) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.85) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.41) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.58) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.54) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.31) Other @ 3.55% Total : 49.36% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.74) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.86) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.7) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -1.3) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.95) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.45) Other @ 3.08% Total : 26.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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