Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for York City had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | York City |
64.28% ( -0.14) | 19.95% ( 0.02) | 15.77% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 53.5% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.75% ( 0.16) | 41.24% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.36% ( 0.17) | 63.64% ( -0.17) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.87% ( 0.01) | 12.13% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.28% ( 0.02) | 37.71% ( -0.02) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.88% ( 0.26) | 39.11% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.17% ( 0.24) | 75.83% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | York City |
2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 10% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 3.63% Total : 64.27% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.95% | 0-1 @ 4.45% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 15.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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