Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 52.47%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for York City in this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
52.47% ( 4.51) | 23.23% ( -0.82) | 24.3% ( -3.69) |
Both teams to score 56.81% ( -0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.22% ( 0.65) | 43.78% ( -0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.83% ( 0.63) | 66.17% ( -0.63) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.31% ( 1.96) | 16.69% ( -1.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.42% ( 3.39) | 46.58% ( -3.39) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.19% ( -2.52) | 31.81% ( 2.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.75% ( -2.99) | 68.25% ( 2.99) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.81) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.52) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.77) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.38) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.46) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.19% Total : 52.47% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.68) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.63) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.64) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.36) Other @ 2.66% Total : 24.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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