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Wrexham AFC
National League | Gameweek 35
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm

Wrexham
3 - 1
Dorking

Lee (12'), Mullin (41'), Dalby (56')
Cannon (35')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Muitt (76')
Moore (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Dorking 3-2 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: Wrexham 4-1 Dorking Wanderers

 Wrexham have been formidable at the Racecourse Ground this season, failing to win on just one occasion, meaning that they should have no trouble at all sweeping Dorking Wanderers aside. The visitors have not won a league away match since a 1-0 victory against Barnet in the middle of September, and there is very little chance that record changes against a side going for the league title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 86.83%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 4.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.82%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawDorking Wanderers
86.83% (0.0019999999999953 0) 8.66%4.5%
Both teams to score 51.52% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.42% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.09% (0.007000000000005 0.01)38.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.9% (0.0019999999999953 0)3.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)13.85% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.16% (0.007000000000005 0.01)46.83% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.64% (0.004999999999999 0)82.36% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 86.83%
    Dorking Wanderers 4.5%
    Draw 8.66%
WrexhamDrawDorking Wanderers
3-0 @ 10.14%
4-0 @ 8.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 7.69%
4-1 @ 6.68%
2-1 @ 6.64%
5-0 @ 6.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-1 @ 4.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
6-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
6-1 @ 2.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.54%
5-2 @ 1.76%
7-0 @ 1.76%
7-1 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 86.83%
1-1 @ 3.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 2.52%
0-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 8.66%
1-2 @ 1.45%
0-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 4.5%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Dorking

Wrexham
95.2%
Draw
0.0%
Dorking Wanderers
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Dorking
0-5
Wrexham
Palmer (20', 49'), Mendy (24'), Moore (35' og.), Lee (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet24154550292149
2York City23146347202748
3Forest Green RoversForest Green23138241192247
4Gateshead24145549311847
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale22123734201439
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2411584336738
8Halifax TownHalifax249962623336
9AltrinchamAltrincham249873730735
10Yeovil TownYeovil2410593027335
11Eastleigh238963230233
12Sutton UnitedSutton249693332133
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool248972929033
14Southend UnitedSouthend247982827130
15Tamworth238692639-1330
16Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red237793733428
17Woking2467112335-1225
18Aldershot TownAldershot2459103442-824
19WealdstoneWealdstone2358102835-723
20Braintree TownBraintree2465132335-1223
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2465133046-1623
22Fylde2464142950-2122
23Boston UnitedBoston2336141938-1915
24Ebbsfleet2416171758-419
> National League Full Table


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