Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.79%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Solihull Moors |
34.34% ( 0.17) | 23.22% ( -0.04) | 42.44% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 63.91% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.52% ( 0.25) | 37.47% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.3% ( 0.27) | 59.7% ( -0.27) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.06% ( 0.21) | 21.93% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.79% ( 0.31) | 55.21% ( -0.31) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.87% ( 0.05) | 18.13% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.91% ( 0.09) | 49.08% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Solihull Moors |
2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.5% Total : 34.34% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 42.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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