Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 19.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Solihull Moors | Draw | Aldershot Town |
59% ( 1.02) | 21.36% ( -0.37) | 19.64% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 56.55% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.97% ( 0.77) | 41.02% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.58% ( 0.78) | 63.42% ( -0.78) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.41% ( 0.56) | 13.59% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.29% ( 1.12) | 40.71% ( -1.12) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.44% ( -0.2) | 34.56% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.72% ( -0.21) | 71.28% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Solihull Moors | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.27% Total : 59% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 24 |
2 | York City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
4 | Rochdale | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Gateshead | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Eastleigh | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | Woking | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
16 | Tamworth | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 10 |
20 | Fylde | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
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