Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 19.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Solihull Moors | Draw | Aldershot Town |
59% ( 1.02) | 21.36% ( -0.37) | 19.64% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 56.55% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.97% ( 0.77) | 41.02% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.58% ( 0.78) | 63.42% ( -0.78) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.41% ( 0.56) | 13.59% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.29% ( 1.12) | 40.71% ( -1.12) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.44% ( -0.2) | 34.56% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.72% ( -0.21) | 71.28% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Solihull Moors | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.27% Total : 59% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
> National League Full Table |