Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 51.26%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
25.72% ( -5.24) | 23.02% ( -1.05) | 51.26% ( 6.29) |
Both teams to score 59.03% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.47% ( 1.32) | 41.52% ( -1.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.07% ( 1.33) | 63.92% ( -1.32) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.53% ( -2.99) | 29.47% ( 2.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.53% ( -3.81) | 65.47% ( 3.81) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.69% ( 2.95) | 16.3% ( -2.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.12% ( 5.09) | 45.88% ( -5.09) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.91) 1-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.9) 2-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.91) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.63) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.53) Other @ 3.24% Total : 25.72% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.98) 1-3 @ 5.84% ( 0.79) 0-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.98) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.57) 0-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.6) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.24) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.27) Other @ 3.41% Total : 51.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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