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Aldershot Town
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Wrexham AFC
National League | Gameweek 20
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Aldershot Town

Wrexham
2 - 0
Aldershot

Mullin (28'), Jones (38')
McFadzean (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Amaluzor (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and Aldershot Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wealdstone 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 1-2 Maidenhead
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League

We said: Wrexham 3-0 Aldershot Town

Wrexham are looking for one thing only this season, and that is promotion, which is why a match like this will be seen as must win. The attacking qualities of the Welsh club should prove to be far too much for Aldershot Town here, and Parkinson's men will secure a comfortable three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 80.78%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 7.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawAldershot Town
80.78% (0.307 0.31) 12.1% (-0.216 -0.22) 7.11% (-0.095 -0.09)
Both teams to score 52.37% (0.508 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.57% (0.81099999999999 0.81)27.43% (-0.817 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.97% (1.014 1.01)48.03% (-1.019 -1.02)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.83% (0.206 0.21)5.16% (-0.2111 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.53% (0.616 0.62)20.47% (-0.62 -0.62)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.22% (0.415 0.41)44.78% (-0.42 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.24% (0.331 0.33)80.75% (-0.337 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 80.78%
    Aldershot Town 7.11%
    Draw 12.1%
WrexhamDrawAldershot Town
2-0 @ 10.15% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-0 @ 10.03% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 8.06% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 7.43% (0.037 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.85% (-0.249 -0.25)
4-1 @ 5.97% (0.098 0.1)
5-0 @ 4.4% (0.081 0.08)
5-1 @ 3.54% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.4% (0.067 0.07)
6-0 @ 2.18% (0.068 0.07)
6-1 @ 1.75% (0.075 0.08)
5-2 @ 1.42% (0.059 0.06)
7-0 @ 0.92% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 80.78%
1-1 @ 5.51% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.28% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 2.31% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 12.1%
1-2 @ 2.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 1.86% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 7.11%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Aldershot

Wrexham
100%
Draw
0.0%
Aldershot Town
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Wrexham
4-1
Aldershot
Mullin (35', 68'), Davies (49'), Palmer (57')
Young (61')
Phillips (90+2')
Daniel (42')
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Aldershot
3-0
Wrexham
Nouble (26', 47'), Anderson (68')
Rees (45+3'), Colombie (77'), Panayiotou (84')

Hall-Johnson (39'), Reckord (45+1')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Wrexham
1-0
Aldershot
Young (64')

Phillips (45+1'), Edser (50')
Jan 4, 2020 3pm
Wrexham
1-2
Aldershot
Hooper (90')
Jennings (56'), Redmond (90')
Chislett (63'), Bettamer (69')
Powell (54'), Lyons-Foster (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
23Boston UnitedBoston1825111631-1511
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288


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