National League | Gameweek 22

Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Gateshead International Stadium

Gateshead
0 - 2
Aldershot

Tinkler (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Glover (52'), Amaluzor (78')
Jordan (35'), Effiong (68')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Gateshead and Aldershot Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gateshead

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-1 Gateshead
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 2-0 Southend
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Gateshead 2-1 Aldershot Town

There is no denying that Gateshead have had a miserable season thus far. Having won just one league game since late September, very few people would put them as comfortable favourites for Saturday. However, their most recent performances coupled with a much greater stability in their own dugout may prove decisive for the relegation-threatened team to prevail at the International Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Gateshead	Draw	Aldershot Town
50.82% ( -2.07)	23.02% ( 0.42)	26.16% ( 1.65)

Both teams to score 59.49% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.89% (

-0.44)

41.11% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.49% (

-0.45)

63.51% (

0.45)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.69% (

-0.88)

16.31% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.11% (

-1.62)

45.89% (

1.62)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.09% (

1.04)

28.91% (

-1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.21% (

1.28)

64.79% (

-1.28)

Score Analysis

Gateshead 50.82%

Aldershot Town 26.16%

Draw 23.02%

Gateshead	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.34) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.43% Total : 50.82%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.02%	1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.4% Total : 26.16%