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National League | Gameweek 24
Dec 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Meadowbank
Maidstone United

Dorking
3 - 2
Maidstone

McShane (6'), Taylor (90+2', 90+6')
Gallagher (24'), Seager (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Barham (22'), Deacon (41')
Greenidge (62'), Lyons-Foster (90+3'), (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Maidstone United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 3-1 Dorking
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 2-3 Altrincham
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League

We said: Dorking Wanderers 1-1 Maidstone United

With both sides struggling for form in recent weeks, a share of the spoils looks the likely outcome in an early-season relegation six-pointer at the Meadowbank Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawMaidstone United
49.85% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 21.95% (-0.032 -0.03) 28.2% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 65.25% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.67% (0.111 0.11)34.33% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.76% (0.126 0.13)56.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.81% (0.066999999999993 0.07)14.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.11% (0.136 0.14)41.89% (-0.14 -0.14)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.97% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (0.027999999999999 0.03)58.2% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 49.85%
    Maidstone United 28.2%
    Draw 21.95%
Dorking WanderersDrawMaidstone United
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.64% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.31% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.94% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.1% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 1% (0.0059999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 49.85%
1-1 @ 9.48% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.86% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 28.2%

How you voted: Dorking vs Maidstone

Dorking Wanderers
70.6%
Draw
29.4%
Maidstone United
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Maidstone
2-4
Dorking
Barham (34'), Pattison (51')
Ellul (35')
Corne (84')
McShane (18', 48'), Seager (83' pen., 90+3')
Moore (71'), Huk (90+1')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Maidstone
0-2
Dorking

Elokobi (79')
McShane (43'), Kealy (76')
Feb 9, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Dorking
2-2
Maidstone
Elokobi (41' og.), Prior (72')
Krasniqi (76'), Luque (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet1180323111224
2York City117311861224
3Forest Green RoversForest Green116321991021
4Rochdale116231991020
5Gateshead106221914520
6Oldham AthleticOldham115511510520
7Eastleigh116231915420
8Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red114431912716
9Sutton UnitedSutton114431715216
10Halifax TownHalifax11443108216
11AltrinchamAltrincham114341314-115
12Woking114341214-215
13Southend UnitedSouthend113531614214
14Yeovil TownYeovil114251213-114
15Solihull MoorsSolihull114251317-414
16Tamworth104241117-614
17Aldershot TownAldershot113441616013
18Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool11344710-313
19Braintree TownBraintree11245612-610
20Fylde112361322-99
21Boston UnitedBoston112361120-99
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead112271219-78
23WealdstoneWealdstone11146715-87
24Ebbsfleet11128823-155


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