National League | Gameweek 33

Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
3 - 4
Wrexham

Pendlebury (30'), Hutchinson (39'), Tunnicliffe (89' og.)
Mnoga (6')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Mullin (7' pen., 23'), Jordan (35' og.), Dalby (90+6')
Dalby (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Aldershot Town and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Wrexham

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Wrexham 2-2 Woking
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Aldershot Town 0-2 Wrexham

While Wrexham did not manage to pick up all three points against Woking last time out, their recent record in the National League has otherwise been flawless, and they should have no trouble recording a comfortable victory on Saturday. The Shots have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, but in truth the majority of their wins have been against poor teams, and the Red Dragons will pose a far tougher test. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	Wrexham
22.99% ( 0.03)	22.79% ( 0.02)	54.21% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 56.7% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.81% (

-0.05)

43.19% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.41% (

-0.05)

65.59% (

0.05)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.39% (

32.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.85% (

69.15%

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.13% (

-0.03)

15.87% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.91% (

-0.06)

45.08% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 22.99%

Wrexham 54.21%

Draw 22.79%

Aldershot Town	Draw	Wrexham
2-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.99%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.79%	1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 54.21%