Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maidstone United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
44.69% ( -4.73) | 24.53% ( 0.81) | 30.77% ( 3.93) |
Both teams to score 57.68% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.98% ( -1.24) | 45.02% ( 1.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.63% ( -1.2) | 67.37% ( 1.2) |
Maidstone United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.74% ( -2.43) | 20.25% ( 2.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.4% ( -4.03) | 52.59% ( 4.03) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.33% ( 2.13) | 27.67% ( -2.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.78% ( 2.65) | 63.22% ( -2.65) |
Score Analysis |
Maidstone United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.38) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.75) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.61) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.74) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.42) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.44) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.87% Total : 44.69% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.67) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.77) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.73) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.45) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.41) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
> National League Full Table |