Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Maidstone United | Draw | Wrexham |
26.78% ( -0.09) | 23.66% ( -0.07) | 49.56% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 57.85% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.46% ( 0.24) | 43.54% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.06% ( 0.23) | 65.94% ( -0.23) |
Maidstone United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.28% ( 0.06) | 29.72% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.22% ( 0.07) | 65.78% ( -0.06) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.31% ( 0.15) | 17.68% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.68% ( 0.26) | 48.32% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Maidstone United | Draw | Wrexham |
2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 26.78% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.74% Total : 49.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
> National League Full Table |