Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.