Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
