Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Gateshead |
32.7% ( -0) | 24.85% ( 0) | 42.45% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 57.44% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.29% ( -0.01) | 45.71% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.97% ( -0.01) | 68.03% ( 0.01) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.22% ( -0.01) | 26.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.94% ( -0.01) | 62.06% ( 0.01) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.45% ( -0) | 21.55% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.37% ( -0.01) | 54.63% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.7% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.96% 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 49 |
2 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 47 |
4 | Gateshead | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 33 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 28 |
17 | Woking | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 24 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 58 | -41 | 9 |
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