National League | Gameweek 40

Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
2 - 3
Gateshead

Partington (7'), Jordan (90+2')
Cordner (32'), Kenlock (45+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Campbell (20'), Dinanga (48', 57')
Pye (45+2'), Campbell (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Aldershot Town and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Southend 1-2 Aldershot
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Gateshead

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Aldershot Town 0-1 Gateshead

Aldershot recorded a much-needed win at Southend last weekend but have failed to earn back-to-back wins in the National League since November. Gateshead were improved during their stalemate with Torquay and should have enough about them to pick up three vital points in Hampshire on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	Gateshead
32.7% ( -0)	24.85% ( 0)	42.45% ( -0)

Both teams to score 57.44% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.29% (

-0.01)

45.71% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.97% (

-0.01)

68.03% (

0.01)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.22% (

-0.01)

26.78% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.94% (

-0.01)

62.06% (

0.01)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.45% (

-0)

21.55% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.37% (

-0.01)

54.63% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 32.7%

Gateshead 42.45%

Draw 24.85%

Aldershot Town	Draw	Gateshead
2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.7%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.85%	1-2 @ 8.96% 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.45%