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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Preston North End |
50.87% ( -0.01) | 26.56% ( -0) | 22.57% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 44.9% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.49% ( 0.01) | 58.51% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.91% ( 0.01) | 79.09% ( -0.01) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.86% | 23.14% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.99% | 57.01% ( 0) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.42% ( 0.02) | 41.58% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.93% ( 0.02) | 78.07% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 14.08% 2-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 50.86% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.17% Total : 22.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45 | 16 | 29 | 52 |
2 | Burnley | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 21 | 49 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 49 |
4 | Sunderland | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 47 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 40 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 39 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 39 |
8 | Watford | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 37 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Bristol City | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 34 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 33 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 |
13 | Millwall | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 29 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 29 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 29 |
17 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 27 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 22 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 22 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 19 |
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