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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 55.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 20.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
55.88% ( -0.13) | 23.33% ( 0.01) | 20.79% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 51.88% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.88% ( 0.11) | 48.11% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.72% ( 0.11) | 70.27% ( -0.11) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.96% ( -0.01) | 17.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.8% ( -0.01) | 47.2% ( 0.01) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.54% ( 0.19) | 37.46% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.76% ( 0.18) | 74.24% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 55.87% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 20.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 40 |
4 | Salford City | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 39 |
6 | Port Vale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 38 |
7 | Notts County | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 24 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 37 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 35 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | Bromley | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 28 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 23 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 27 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 24 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 22 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
22 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 22 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |