League One | Gameweek 17
Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Doncaster0 - 1Fleetwood
We said: Doncaster Rovers 1-1 Fleetwood Town
Even though their fortunes had improved a little before an enforced spell on the sidelines, Fleetwood are sure to have lost some match-fitness in the past two weeks, and will pay the price on Saturday. Doncaster can therefore secure a valuable point against their relegation rivals - fired on by determination to bounce back from last week's implosion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 37.4% | 28.17% | 34.44% |
| Both teams to score 47.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
